Gains and Losses on Fair Value Change of Financial Assets in Explaining Future Earnings of Thai Listed Companies in Financial Industry

Main Article Content

Phatnatcha Chotkunakitti
Yodsawinkan Kobkanjanapued

Abstract

This research studies the ability of current earnings and information from fair value change of available for sale financial assets in explaining future earnings, of the SET listed companies in financial industry using data from year 2012 to 2019. After removing the firms with nonsufficient data, the final sample is comprised of 222 sets and 179 sets for testing one-year and two-years ahead earnings explanation, respectively.


          The research found that current earnings and gains or losses on fair value change of available for sale securities have an ability to explain future earnings both one and two years ahead. However, the results of the statistical analysis reveal that the models have an ability to explain one-year ahead earnings more than two-years ahead. When comparing the model including only current earnings with the model consisting of current earnings and gains or losses on fair value change of available for sale securities, it was found that the models with gains or losses on fair value change of available for sale securities have more ability to explain future earnings. In addition, the models adding firm size of current year, as a control variable, have more ability to explain future earnings.

Article Details

Section
ResearchArticles

References

Argilés, J. M., Garcia-Blandon J., & Monllau, T. (2011). Fair value versus historical cost-based

valuation for biological assets: predictability of financial information. Spanish Accounting Review, 14(2), 87-113.

Bandyopadhyay, S. P., Chen, C. & Wolfe, M. (2017). The predictive ability of investment

property fair value adjustments under IFRS and the role of accounting conservatism. Advances in Accounting, 38, 1-14.

Barth, M. E. (1994). Fair value accounting: Evidence from investment securities and the

market valuation of banks. The Accounting Review, 69(1), 1-25.

Barth, M. E., Beaver, W. H., & Landsman, W. R. (1997). Are banks' SFAS no. 107 fair-value

disclosures relevant to investors?. Bank Accounting & Finance, 10(4), 9-15.

Bordeelertrit, P. (2018). Equity valuation and fair value accounting. Journal of Accounting

Profession, 14(41), 39-62.

Bratten, B., Causholli, M., & Khan, U. (2016). Usefulness of fair values for predicting banks'

future earnings: Evidence from other comprehensive income and its components. Review of Accounting Studies, 21(1), 280-315.

Cao, T., Donnelly, R., & Shaari, H. (2013). Fair value and value in use: An improvement over

Historical cost?. Accountancy Ireland, 45(3), 59-61.

Chae, C. I., Choi, A., & Yim, S. (2016). Fair value accounting and financial stability - based on

the adoption. Journal of Applied Business Research, 32(6), 1825-1842.

Chakraborty, T. (2010). The relationship between fair values in banks' trading books and

volatility in share price returns in the Indian context. IUP Journal of Accounting Research & Audit Practices, 9(1), 63-83.

Dechow, P. M. (1994). Accounting earnings and cash flows as measures of firm performance:

The role of accounting accruals. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 18 (1), 3-42.

Ehalaiye, D., Tippett, M., & Zijl T. (2017). The predictive value of bank fair values.

Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 41, 111-127.

Elbannan, M A. & Elbannan, M A. (2015). Information content of SFAS 157 fair value reporting,

Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, 25, 31-45.

Evans, M. E., Hodder, L., & Hopkins, P. E. (2014). The predictive ability of fair values for future

financial performance of commercial banks and the relation of predictive ability to banks' share prices. Contemporary Accounting Research, 31(1), 13-44.

Federation of Accounting Professions of Thailand (2015). Conceptual Framework for Financial

Reporting (revised 2015) Retrieved from https://acpro-std.tfac.or.th/uploads/files/NOxoIsj0qL.pdf

Federation of Accounting Professions of Thailand (2019). Thai Financial Reporting Standard

(revised 2019): Fair Value Measurement. Retrieved from https://acpro-std.tfac.or.th/page/27/ TFRS_13_revised_2562%20(3).pdf

Finger, C. A. (1994). The ability of earnings to predict future earnings and cash flow. Journal

of Accounting Research, 32(2), 210-223.

Hsu A. W.-H., Wu G. S.-H., & Sbaraglia, A. (2020). Predicting future performance using fair value

Versus historical cost: Evidence from investment property. NTU Management Review, 30(2), 311-334.

Junsangeam, D. & Srijunpetch, S. (2015). The effect of fair value hierarchy disclosure from

different performance on nonprofessional investors’ judgments. Journal of Accounting Profession, 11(31), 80-90.

Kathy, R. P., & Wahlen, J. M. (1995). Fair values of equity and debt securities and share prices

of property- liability insurers. Journal of Risk and Insurance (1986-1998), 62(4), 719-737.

Landsman, W. R. (2007). Is fair value accounting information relevant and reliable? evidence

from capital market research. Accounting and Business Research, 37(3), 19-30.

Laux, C. & Leuz, C. (2009), The crisis of fair-value accounting: Making sense of the recent

debate. Accounting. Organizations and Society, 34(6-7), 826-834.

Lu, H.-Y. & Mande, V. (2014). Does disaggregation of fair value information increase the value

relevance of the fair value hierarchy?, Research in Accounting Regulation, 26(1), 90-97.

Magnan, M., Menini, A., & Parbonetti, A. (2015). Fair value accounting: Information or

confusion for financial markets? Review of Accounting Studies, 20(1), 559-591.

Palea, V. (2014). Fair value accounting and its usefulness to financial statement users.

Journal of Financial Reporting and Accounting, 12(2), 102-116.

Rhee, C. S., Choi, E. S., & Ryu, J. Y. (2018). The influence of firm’s fair value system on

earnings quality under IFRS. Journal of Applied Business Research, 34(3), 427-436.

Šodan, S. (2015). The Impact of fair value accounting on earnings quality in eastern

european countries, Procedia Economics and Finance, 32, 1769-1786.

Srijunpetch, S. (2016). Auditor and fair value auditing. Journal of Business Administration,

(2), 9-15.