Financial Feasibility of the Investment Projects for the Conservation and Development of Bangkok Railway Station (Hua Lamphong) Area

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Pichittra Prapassornmanu
Piyawong Punjatewakupt
Tiraphap Fakthong
Krajangsri Srikrajang Phasomsap
Jeerayu Khowchernklang
Atiya Wongwat

บทคัดย่อ

This paper studies the financial feasibility of the conservation and development of the Bangkok Railway Station (Hua Lamphong). There are three prospect investment schemes which consist of 1) conservation-based development, 2) creative-economy-based development, and 3) commercial-based development. This paper uses the Discount Cash Flow model with an investment period of 30 years. Several results emerged. First, the conservation based development has a negative NPV of 3,261 million bahts with a payback period of 15 years. The creative- economy-based development has a positive NPV of 12,818 million bahts with a payback period of 7 years. Meanwhile, the commercial-based development has a positive NPV of 18,369 million bahts with a payback period of 6 years. Second, our sensitivity analysis shows that occupancy rate and pricing significantly determine the volatility of the projects' returns.

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บทความวิจัย (Research article)

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