The Intensification of the Mekong Subregion-Japan Relations Amidst Global Interregnum: Strategic Co-operation, Regional Dynamics and Implication for Thailand
คำสำคัญ:
GMS, Japan, interregnum, Thailand, geopoliticsบทคัดย่อ
This article examines the evolving international order, characterised by a transition from a unipolar to a multipolar world. As this transformation unfolds, the relative decline of the United States’ global dominance has coincided with the rise of other states and the growing significance of regionalism and regional initiatives. I argue that such a redistribution of power has enabled various actors to reconfigure prevailing economic and political arrangements, thereby fostering a deepening of relations between Japan and the Mekong Subregion. The core research question posed is how the changing international order impacts the Japan–Mekong relations, and what foreign policy Thailand ought to pursue in response to these shifting dynamics. Moreover, the article explores the factors that influence Thailand’s strategic approach in achieving its national objectives within this evolving geopolitical context. I contend that the strengthening of Japan–Mekong ties present considerable opportunities for Thailand, particularly given its central geographic location within the subregion, which positions it to capitalise on this engagement to advance its national interests. Nonetheless, there are six key factors likely to shape Thailand’s benefits and challenges amidst this trilateral relationship: (1) the triangular relations between the United States, China, and Japan; (2) the institutional and strategic challenges facing regional initiatives in the Mekong Subregion; (3) domestic politics of the United States; (4) domestic politics of Japan; (5) domestic politics of China; (6) domestic politics of Thailand.
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