THE INDONESIAN TERRORISM RISK ASSESSMENTS TO OFFENDERS: A CASE STUDY BEFORE AND DURING A PANDEMIC
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14456/acsr.2024.2Keywords:
Terrorism, Pandemic, Criminogenic Risks, Psychological Profiles, Assessment, Risk-Need-ResponsivityAbstract
The Coronavirus pandemic was perceived by terrorist networks as a harbinger of the end of times and impending apocalypse. In Indonesia, there was a notable increase in terror threats and arrests during the pandemic. This study was conducted to examine whether activities related to terror outside prison (such as narratives regarding signs of the apocalypse and threats made by terrorist groups) could potentially impact the risk levels of former terrorist offenders in rehabilitation centres of Indonesia. The study was aimed to investigate risk levels of highly-classified terrorist profiles in Indonesia both before and during the pandemic to discern any changes. Conducted under circumstances fraught of limitations (due to city lockdown and physical restrictions), the study assessed the criminogenic risks of former terrorist offenders by reviewing documented risk assessment before pandemic and conducting another risk assessment during pandemic. The hypothesis of the study was that there would be a change in the risk levels of the offenders. Both quantitative and qualitative analysis were utilised in this study. The findings indicate that there was no significant difference in the total scores of the subjects’ risks before and during the pandemic. However, the qualitative risk profiles demonstrated changes in their motivation, ideology, and capability. The study could aid in evaluating the effectiveness of terrorism responsiveness in Indonesia and assist practitioners and researchers in planning rehabilitation programs to prevent recidivism.
References
Ackerman, G., & Peterson, H. (2020). Terrorism and COVID-19: Actual and Potential Impacts. Perspectives on Terrorism, 14, 59-73.
Al-Tamimi, A. (2020a). Islamic State Advice on Coronavirus Pandemic. Retrieved from www.aymennjawad.org/2020/03/islamic-state-advice-on-coronavirus-pandemic.
Al-Tamimi, A. (2020b). Islamic State Editorial on the Coronavirus Pandemic. Retrieved from www.aymennjawad.org/2020/03/islamicstate-editorial-on-the-coronavirus.
Amelia, F., Widodo, P., & Budiarto, A. (2020). Women’s Motivation as Perpetrators of Terrorism in Indonesia. Journal of Asymetric War, 6(1), 23-42.
Andrews, D., & Bonta, J. (2010). The Psychology of Criminal Conduct. 5th ed. New York: Matthew Bender & Company, Inc.
Andrews, D., Bonta, J., & Hoge, R. (1990). Classification for Effective Rehabilitation: Rediscovering Psychology. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 17(1), 19-52.
Arianti, V., & Taufiqurrohman, M. (2020). Security Implications of COVID-19 for Indonesia. Counter Terrorist Trends and Analyses, 12(3), 13-17.
Barak, M. (2020). The Corona Pandemic: An Opportunity for ISIS. Retrieved from https://ict.org.il/the-corona-pandemic-an-opportunity-for-isis/.
Coleman, J. (2020). The Impact of Coronavirus on Terrorism in the Sahel. Retrieved from www.icct.nl/publication/impact-coronavirus-terrorism-sahel.
Crenshaw, M. (2000). The Psychology of Terrorism: An Agenda for the 21st Century. Political Psychology, 21(2), 405-420.
Dernevik, M., Beck, A., Grann, M., Hogue, T., & McGuire, J. (2009a). The use of psychiatric and psychological evidence in the assessment of terrorist offenders. Journal of Forensic Psychiatry & Psychology, 20(4), 508-515.
Dernevik, M., Beck, A., Grann, M., Hogue, T., & McGuire, J. (2009b). A response to Dr. Gudjonsson's commentary. Journal of Forensic Psychiatry & Psychology, 20(4), 520-522.
Europol. (2021). Catching the virus cybercrime, disinformation and the COVID-19 pandemic. Retrieved from www.europol.europa.eu/publications-events/publications/catching-virus-cybercrime-disinformation-and-covid-19-pandemic.
Ganor, B. (2002). Defining Terrorism: Is One Man's Terrorist another Man's Freedom Fighter?. Police Practice and Research, 3(4), 287-304.
Habib, R. (2020). Diskusi Publik: Mewaspadai Ancaman Teror di Tengah Pademi [Terrorism at the Era of Pandemic] [Video]. Youtube-Kajian Terorisme SKSG UI Official. www.youtube.com/watch?v=esXrXb0f3n4&feature=emb_err_woyt.
Hilmy, M. (2013). The Politics of Retaliation: The Backlash of Radical Islamists to the Deradicalization Project in Indonesia. Journal of Al-Jami'ah: Journal of Islamic Studies, 51(1), 129-158.
Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict. (2020a). IPAC Short Briefing No.1: COVID-19 and ISIS in Indonesia. Jakarta: Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict.
Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict. (2020b). COVID-19 and the Mujahidin of Eastern Indonesia (MIT). Jakarta: Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict.
International Crisis Group. (2020). Contending with ISIS in the Time of Coronavirus. Retrieved from www.crisisgroup.org/global/contending-isis-time-coronavirus.
Jongman, A. (1988). Political Terrorism: A New Guide to Actors, Authors, Concepts, Data Bases, Theories, and Literature. New Jersey: Transaction Publishers.
Kruglanski, A., Gunaratna, R., Ellenberg, M., & Speckhard, A. (2020). Terrorism in Time of the Pandemic: Exploiting Mayhem. Global Security: Health, Science and Policy, 5(1), 121-132.
LaFree, G., & Dugan, L. (2004). How Does Studying Terrorism Compare to Studying Crime?. In M. DeFlem. (ed.). Terrorism and Counter-Terrorism: Criminological Perspectives (pp. 53-74). Amsterdam: Elsevier.
Laqueur, W. (2016). A History of Terrorism. New Jersey: Transaction Publishers.
Monahan, J. (2012). The Individual Risk Assessment of Terrorism. Psychology, Public Policy, and Law, 18(2), 167-205.
Nadal, K., & Rios, D. (2020). "Their Coronavirus Jihad": How Far-right Extremists are Responding to the Pandemic. Retrieved from https://politicalviolenceataglance.org/2020/04/03/their-coronavirus-jihad-how-far-right-extremists-are-responding-to-the-pandemic/.
Neiwert, D. (2020). The Pandemic Exposes the Long History of Far-right Conspiracism. Retrieved from www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/22/far-right-conspiracism-apocalypticism-coronavirus-anarchist.
Ong, K., & Azman, N. (2020). Distinguishing Between the Extreme Farright and Islamic State’s (IS) Calls to Exploit COVID-19. Counter Terrorist Trends and Analyses, 12(3), 18-21.
Perliger, A. (2020). Apocalyptic Beliefs and Violent Political Behavior. Retrieved from https://ctc.usma.edu/apocalyptic-beliefs-and-violent-political-behavior/.
Permono, P., Nurish, A., & Muta'ali, A. (2020). COVID-19: Inside Indonesia's Islamic State Social Media Network. Masyarakat Indonesia; Majalah Ilmu-ilmu Sosial Indonesia, 46(2), 138-149.
Ramsay, G. (2015). Why Terrorism can, but should not be Defined. Critical Studies on Terrorism, 8(2), 211-228.
Rosenfeld, R. (2003). Why Criminologists should Study Terrorism. Crime & Justice International, 19(1), 34-35.
Siregar, K., & Rayda, N. (2021). Female 'Lone Wolf' Attacker Killed during Gunfight at Police Headquarters in Jakarta. Retrieved from www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/police-headquarters-jakarta-attack-lone-wolf-islamic-state-14531452.
Slamet, A. (2020). Lone Wolfs in Indonesia. Jawa Barat: Universitas Indonesia.
Sukabdi, Z. (2018). Terrorism Criminogenic Risk Factors. A paper presented at the 2nd International Conference on Social and Political Issues, Universitas Indonesia, Indonesia.
Sukabdi, Z. (2020). Diskusi Publik: Mewaspadai Ancaman Teror di Tengah Pademi [Terrorism at the Era of Pandemic] [Video]. Youtube-Kajian Terorisme SKSG UI Official. www.youtube.com/watch?v=esXrXb0f3n4&feature=emb_err_woyt.
Sukabdi, Z. (2021a). Bridging the Gap: Contributions of Academics and National Security Practitioners to Counterterrorism in Indonesia. International Journal of Law, Crime and Justice, 65, 100467.
Sukabdi, Z. (2021b). Measuring the Effectiveness of Deradicalisation: The Development of MIKRA Risk Assessment. American Journal of Psychiatric Research and Reviews, 4(30), 1-20.
Sukabdi, Z. (2022). Treatment Procedures for Ideology-Based Terrorist Offenders in Indonesia. Criminology & Social Integration, 30(2022), 2-25.
U.S. Embassy and Consulates in Indonesia. (2021). Security Alert – U.S. Embassy Jakarta, Indonesia. Retrieved from https://id.usembassy.gov/security-alert-u-s-embassy-jakarta-indonesia-april-7-2021/.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Authors
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.