The Relationships between Energy Consumption, Energy Prices, and Economic Growth for Investment Opportunities in the Money Market: A Case Study of Time Series in Asian Newly Industrialized Countries

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Nonthaporn Seehapan
Pornmanus Siritarungsri
Nattawut Hantrakul
Kajakorn Chomaithong
Pao Jampangoen

Abstract

        In this research investigation, the researchers study the causal relationships between energy consumption, energy prices, and income in six Asian newly industrialized countries i.e. India, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and China using the techniques of cointegration and an error-correction model. The Granger causality model found that India exhibited the short-run bidirectional causality relationship between energy consumption and income and the short-run unidirectional causality relationship with energy prices which were the cause of energy consumption. In regard to cointegration, energy consumption and energy prices were the causes of income in India and Indonesia. In Malaysia and the Philippines, the test showed that income and energy consumption were the causes of energy prices. In Thailand, energy consumption was the cause of energy prices. Therefore, energy prices and energy consumption were not the causes of income in Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand. These countries could use an energy conservation policy or promote the use of renewable energy without having an effect on their national incomes.


 

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